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Red71
261430.0
178736.1
170812.1
Blue39
37918.6
151123.8
499114.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895640801001207139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.3
36.636.3
Auto6.0
Teleop16.5
End13.6
red by 12.4
1511
#10
23.80.4
23.923.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End5.8
Second
30.00.3
30.430.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.2
red by 11.4
379
#21
18.60.4
18.718.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End10.5
Third
1708
#33
12.10.3
12.612.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End3.2
blue by 2.2
4991
#30
14.30.4
14.414.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End7.3