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Red56
727415.6
261430.0
405015.9
Blue10
751514.9
408516.0
37918.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523702060805610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.4
25.826.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.2
red by 11.4
379
#21
18.63.0
14.811.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End10.5
Second
4050
#28
15.90.6
11.111.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End3.1
blue by 0.2
4085
#24
16.03.0
13.010.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Third
7274
#17
15.60.6
10.010.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End2.3
red by 0.7
7515
#27
14.93.0
8.85.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed