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Red50
261430.0
265614.1
446715.7
Blue38
727415.6
549220.8
80279.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532701020406070805038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.3
26.125.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.2
red by 9.2
5492
#13
20.81.0
12.113.1
Auto6.1
Teleop4.0
End10.7
Second
4467
#32
15.70.5
10.810.3
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End3.2
red by 0.1
7274
#17
15.61.0
10.511.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Third
2656
#26
14.10.5
9.59.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End5.2
red by 4.3
8027
#44
9.71.0
6.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned