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Red35
30218.6
205313.2
326014.4
Blue38
12015.5
151123.8
205114.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42511020306070803538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#16
18.61.0
16.015.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End3.8
blue by 5.2
1511
#10
23.80.6
21.520.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End5.8
Second
3260
#43
14.40.6
13.813.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End4.9
blue by 1.1
120
#29
15.51.0
11.010.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Third
2053
#41
13.21.0
10.59.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End4.8
blue by 1.4
2051
#37
14.61.0
14.413.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed