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Red72
353933.3
446715.7
350417.4
Blue33
549220.8
499114.3
11713.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50392060807233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.7
24.726.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.1
End11.0
red by 12.5
5492
#13
20.80.5
13.112.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.0
End10.7
Second
3504
#40
17.42.9
10.813.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End4.1
red by 3.1
4991
#30
14.30.5
11.811.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End7.3
Third
4467
#32
15.72.9
10.313.2
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End3.2
red by 2.6
117
#18
13.10.5
12.812.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsEarned