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Red70
37918.6
80279.7
32523.3
Blue41
326014.4
574025.3
454710.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443510203040506070807041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#4
23.32.4
14.717.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.6
End4.8
blue by 2.1
5740
#22
25.30.8
12.713.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End9.4
Second
379
#21
18.62.4
16.218.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End10.5
red by 4.2
3260
#43
14.40.5
13.213.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End4.9
Third
8027
#44
9.72.4
9.211.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End3.3
blue by 0.3
4547
#35
10.00.8
7.88.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed