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Red50
320112.4
264112.4
151123.8
Blue61
499114.3
405015.9
746021.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51534060705061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#10
23.80.1
21.821.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End5.8
red by 2.7
7460
#11
21.11.2
20.421.6
Auto6.1
Teleop3.0
End11.9
Second
2641
#46
12.40.1
11.111.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.5
blue by 3.5
4050
#28
15.91.2
16.918.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Third
3201
#39
12.40.2
15.115.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 1.9
4991
#30
14.31.2
12.613.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned