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Red32
260312.5
402717.9
446715.7
Blue47
716516.4
426915.8
69517.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49432030406070803247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4027
#19
17.91.5
16.715.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.4
Level
695
#15
17.90.7
13.914.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End5.6
Second
4467
#32
15.71.5
14.813.4
Auto7.5
Teleop5.0
End3.2
blue by 0.7
7165
#25
16.40.7
15.115.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End7.3
Third
2603
#23
12.51.5
13.712.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End2.8
blue by 3.3
4269
#20
15.80.7
12.212.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned