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Red55
408516.0
395414.8
151123.8
Blue46
716516.4
265614.1
264112.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633820801005546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#10
23.80.4
21.921.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End5.8
red by 7.4
7165
#25
16.40.3
15.716.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End7.3
Second
4085
#24
16.00.6
16.916.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End3.0
red by 2.0
2656
#26
14.10.3
12.312.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End5.2
Third
3954
#14
14.80.6
17.516.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End5.4
red by 2.4
2641
#46
12.40.2
11.211.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsMissed