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Red69
415023.4
350417.4
751514.9
Blue54
381422.9
716516.4
37814.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4057102030507080906954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.43.0
17.921.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.1
End10.5
red by 0.5
22.90.1
19.219.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End12.4
Second
3504
#40
17.43.0
12.515.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End4.1
red by 1.0
7165
#25
16.40.1
16.015.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End7.3
Third
7515
#27
14.93.0
9.312.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End6.0
red by 0.5
378
#45
14.40.1
15.815.7
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed