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Red44
12015.5
30218.6
80279.7
Blue34
320112.4
603213.3
751514.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49381020306070804434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#16
18.60.0
17.817.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End3.8
red by 3.7
7515
#27
14.90.3
12.412.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End6.0
Second
120
#29
15.50.0
15.615.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End3.3
red by 2.2
6032
#47
13.30.3
11.511.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End4.7
Third
8027
#44
9.70.0
11.011.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End3.3
blue by 2.7
3201
#39
12.40.3
13.513.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsEarned