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Red36
683413.6
205114.6
402717.9
Blue75
751514.9
454710.0
353933.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4954203040607080901003675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4027
#19
17.90.9
17.917.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.4
blue by 15.4
33.31.4
31.132.5
Auto9.1
Teleop13.1
End11.0
Second
2051
#37
14.60.9
14.413.5
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.6
blue by 0.3
7515
#27
14.91.9
12.013.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End6.0
Third
6834
#42
13.60.9
14.013.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 3.6
4547
#35
10.01.9
6.78.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned