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Red46
395414.8
320112.4
261430.0
Blue64
353933.3
683413.6
260312.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66613040507080901004664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.0
31.430.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.9
End5.2
blue by 3.3
33.30.4
32.532.9
Auto9.1
Teleop13.1
End11.0
Second
3954
#14
14.81.2
16.014.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End5.4
red by 1.2
6834
#42
13.60.5
13.113.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
3201
#39
12.41.3
13.712.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 0.1
2603
#23
12.50.5
12.613.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsMissed