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Red78
55421.8
574025.3
727415.6
Blue48
426915.8
205313.2
549220.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58543040507080907848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#22
25.32.1
21.924.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End9.4
red by 4.6
5492
#13
20.80.3
21.621.3
Auto6.1
Teleop4.0
End10.7
Second
554
#9
21.81.9
18.820.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End9.5
red by 6.0
4269
#20
15.80.3
16.015.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End5.7
Third
7274
#17
15.62.1
13.515.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End2.3
red by 2.4
2053
#41
13.20.3
13.513.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned