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Red63
30218.6
32523.3
37814.4
Blue52
69517.9
29113.7
205114.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39370102030506070806352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#4
23.32.5
10.212.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.6
End4.8
red by 5.3
695
#15
17.91.9
11.012.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End5.6
Second
302
#16
18.62.5
13.516.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End3.8
red by 3.9
2051
#37
14.61.9
11.813.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
378
#45
14.42.5
12.515.0
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 0.7
291
#38
13.71.9
12.214.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned