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Red39
542015.4
54018.0
164019.4
Blue85
589537.9
622619.2
139122.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38450102030506070803985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.3
15.215.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End8.7
blue by 18.5
37.94.9
17.522.4
Auto13.3
Teleop21.0
End3.6
Second
5420
#26
15.40.3
10.610.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
blue by 7.4
1391
#10
22.94.9
11.516.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End7.1
Third
5401
#29
8.00.3
10.510.8
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 11.2
19.24.9
12.117.0
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned