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Red45
180722.5
27227.9
164019.4
Blue60
25599.9
589537.9
787712.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423920305060704560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.7
17.217.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End6.2
blue by 15.4
37.92.6
22.425.0
Auto13.3
Teleop21.0
End3.6
Second
19.40.7
15.516.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End8.7
red by 7.4
7877
#27
12.12.6
8.611.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
2722
#33
7.90.7
6.37.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End2.7
blue by 2.0
2559
#28
9.92.6
5.98.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed