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Red26
68084.1
36522.4
81611.4
Blue63
34116.4
622619.2
253927.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384310203050607080902663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#14
22.41.2
16.515.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End5.5
blue by 4.9
27.31.6
13.415.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End10.9
Second
816
#19
11.41.2
12.611.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.5
blue by 7.9
19.21.6
17.018.6
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Third
6808
#32
4.11.2
7.66.4
Auto0.1
Teleop1.8
End2.3
blue by 12.2
341
#13
16.41.6
9.811.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned