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Red16
253927.3
4237.6
51138.5
Blue42
741414.3
70811.0
34116.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333210204050601642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.7
15.013.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End10.9
red by 11.0
341
#13
16.41.3
11.512.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End4.9
Second
5113
#25
8.51.7
9.57.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
blue by 5.9
7414
#11
14.31.3
10.011.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
423
#31
7.61.7
6.54.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End3.6
blue by 3.4
708
#23
11.01.3
8.710.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned