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Red54
223415.0
121821.2
589537.9
Blue33
54018.0
139122.9
787712.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140020801005433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.0
25.024.9
Auto13.3
Teleop21.0
End3.6
red by 15.0
1391
#10
22.91.7
17.115.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End7.1
Second
21.20.0
16.316.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End9.2
red by 9.2
7877
#27
12.11.7
11.29.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
15.00.0
13.113.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End9.7
red by 7.0
5401
#29
8.01.7
11.710.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsMissed