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Red28
209516.3
81611.4
437321.2
Blue65
164019.4
223415.0
36522.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426120801002865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.5
18.116.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End5.0
blue by 1.2
365
#14
22.40.7
19.219.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End5.5
Second
2095
#30
16.31.4
11.610.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.0
End5.8
blue by 3.2
19.40.7
20.221.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End8.7
Third
816
#19
11.41.5
12.110.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.5
blue by 3.7
15.00.7
15.115.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned