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Red33
27217.4
542015.4
622619.2
Blue40
16475.4
180722.5
741414.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373602060803340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.2
12.312.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
blue by 3.3
22.50.3
15.715.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End6.2
Second
272
#20
17.40.2
11.711.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.0
End5.5
red by 3.1
7414
#11
14.30.3
9.09.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
5420
#26
15.40.2
10.810.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 10.0
1647
#35
5.40.3
9.09.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed