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Red31
27227.9
25599.9
622619.2
Blue72
139122.9
253927.3
568416.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35500204060803172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.9
19.718.8
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
blue by 8.1
27.33.0
14.717.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End10.9
Second
2559
#28
9.90.9
8.57.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End3.0
blue by 13.0
1391
#10
22.93.0
16.719.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End7.1
Third
2722
#33
7.90.9
6.85.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End2.7
blue by 8.5
5684
#15
16.43.0
13.616.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned