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Red52
27227.9
542015.4
253927.3
Blue54
711016.2
272013.1
437321.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37502060801005254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.8
17.719.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End10.9
red by 6.1
21.21.0
17.118.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End5.0
Second
5420
#26
15.41.8
12.414.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
blue by 0.8
16.21.0
18.219.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End4.9
Third
2722
#33
7.91.8
5.97.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End2.7
blue by 5.1
2720
#16
13.11.0
9.810.8
Auto3.4
Teleop0.6
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned