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Red34
48417.5
741414.3
568416.4
Blue25
25599.9
81611.4
70811.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563202040801003425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#17
17.52.6
23.420.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.8
red by 6.1
816
#19
11.41.4
13.512.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Second
5684
#15
16.42.6
16.613.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End3.3
red by 5.4
708
#23
11.01.4
12.310.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Third
7414
#11
14.32.6
9.77.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
red by 4.5
2559
#28
9.91.4
7.66.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed