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Red34
81611.4
27227.9
139122.9
Blue67
218014.1
51138.5
180722.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4747354045505560653467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#10DQ
22.91.0
22.021.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End7.1
red by 0.3
22.50.5
22.022.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End6.2
Second
816
#19
11.41.0
12.811.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.5
blue by 2.8
2180
#18
14.10.5
13.614.1
Auto1.7
Teleop6.8
End5.6
Third
2722
#33
7.91.0
8.97.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End2.7
blue by 0.6
5113
#25
8.50.5
8.69.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned