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Red109
253927.3
589537.9
209516.3
Blue76
139122.9
121821.2
10317.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876020408010012010976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.7
36.837.5
Auto13.3
Teleop21.0
End3.6
red by 15.0
1391
#10
22.90.4
22.222.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End7.1
Second
27.30.7
26.226.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End10.9
red by 6.1
21.20.4
20.520.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End9.2
Third
2095
#30
16.30.7
15.115.8
Auto6.5
Teleop4.0
End5.8
blue by 1.5
103
#21
17.70.4
17.017.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End6.1