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Red78
180722.5
164019.4
218014.1
Blue56
70811.0
711016.2
568416.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624420801007856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.4
22.623.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End6.2
red by 6.1
5684
#15
16.40.3
16.416.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Second
19.40.4
18.919.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End8.7
red by 3.2
16.20.3
16.216.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End4.9
Third
2180
#18
14.10.4
14.214.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.8
End5.6
red by 3.1
708
#23
11.00.3
11.011.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0