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Red70
34128.9
331427.6
25599.8
Blue42
27224.7
518114.0
43315.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82690501001502002503007042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#4
28.90.3
30.930.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.9
End8.8
red by 4.2
272
#8
24.71.6
29.327.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Second
27.60.3
29.028.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End11.0
red by 12.4
433
#14
15.21.6
17.215.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End6.3
Third
2559
#11
9.80.3
15.014.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End3.3
blue by 4.2
5181
#15
14.01.6
20.118.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsMissed