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Red50
10325.8
70820.7
25599.8
Blue20
8161.4
34128.9
83420.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7963020401001201401605020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#12
25.82.0
32.630.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.4
End7.2
blue by 3.1
341
#4
28.92.7
30.627.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.9
End8.8
Second
708
#18
20.72.0
24.922.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End5.3
red by 0.5
834
#13
20.22.7
27.024.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Third
2559
#11
9.82.0
14.712.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End3.3
red by 8.4
816
#17
1.42.7
2.90.2
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.7
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsMissed