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Red65
331427.6
540119.7
8161.4
Blue69
48428.1
10325.8
27224.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39990501502006569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#6Sur
27.61.4
28.529.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End11.0
blue by 0.5
484
#9Sur
28.11.3
27.526.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.5
Second
5401
#3Sur
19.71.4
15.116.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
blue by 6.1
103
#12Sur
25.81.3
30.629.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.4
End7.2
Third
816
#17Sur
1.41.4
0.21.7
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.7
End-0.8
blue by 23.3
272
#8
24.71.3
27.025.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsMissed