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Red49
43319.1
27222.9
17129.3
Blue61
116816.2
48425.2
518112.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54573040506070804961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#7
22.90.0
22.922.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End7.5
blue by 2.3
484
#8
25.20.2
24.825.0
Auto5.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9
Second
433
#10
19.10.0
19.019.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End10.4
red by 2.9
1168
#18
16.20.2
15.816.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Third
1712
#17
9.30.1
9.39.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.4
End4.8
blue by 3.3
5181
#20
12.60.2
12.212.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End6.3