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Red42
518112.6
27222.9
540713.2
Blue0
87076.0
2044.3
3169.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5230020406080100420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#7
22.90.3
19.319.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.3
End7.5
red by 13.1
316
#24
9.83.5
12.99.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End3.3
Second
5407
#13
13.20.5
13.913.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End4.0
red by 7.2
8707
#22
6.03.5
10.87.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.6
End2.5
Third
5181
#20
12.60.5
13.112.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End6.3
red by 8.3
204
#26
4.33.4
7.43.9
Auto1.8
Teleop1.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed