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Red60
223413.9
209514.5
34132.5
Blue42
116816.2
518112.6
2938.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801006042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
32.50.3
19.820.1
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End9.8
red by 16.4
1168
#18
16.20.2
18.117.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Second
2095
#19
14.50.3
14.314.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End6.1
red by 1.9
5181
#20
12.60.3
12.612.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End6.3
Third
2234
#12
13.90.3
16.817.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End9.2
red by 5.9
293
#27
8.00.3
9.69.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsEarned