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Red43
201621.5
223413.9
48615.0
Blue44
540713.2
48425.2
209514.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54534045506065704344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.8
17.917.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End13.0
blue by 3.6
484
#8
25.20.7
19.518.9
Auto5.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9
Second
486
#11
15.00.8
14.213.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End7.3
red by 0.5
2095
#19
14.50.7
16.215.5
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End6.1
Third
2234
#12
13.90.5
18.518.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End9.2
red by 0.7
5407
#13
13.21.1
14.313.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed