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Red48
540713.2
437326.4
2938.0
Blue33
70914.7
48615.0
518112.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47462030406070804833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.2
27.127.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End6.0
red by 11.3
486
#11
15.01.3
14.813.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End7.3
Second
5407
#13
13.20.3
11.011.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End4.0
blue by 1.5
709
#15
14.71.0
15.314.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End7.6
Third
293
#27
8.00.3
6.16.5
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 4.5
5181
#20
12.61.3
13.111.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned