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Red44
209514.5
116816.2
70816.4
Blue51
223413.9
68085.2
437326.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49510204060801001204451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#14
16.40.2
14.714.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
blue by 10.0
26.40.5
27.426.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End6.0
Second
1168
#18
16.20.2
16.716.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End3.7
red by 2.2
2234
#12
13.90.5
14.313.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End9.2
Third
2095
#19
14.50.2
14.914.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End6.1
red by 9.3
6808
#21
5.20.5
5.65.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsMissed