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Red45
518112.6
48425.2
46373.1
Blue56
434223.1
43319.1
68085.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42250102030506070804556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#8
25.20.5
17.017.5
Auto5.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9
red by 2.0
23.13.3
12.716.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End8.3
Second
5181
#20
12.60.8
12.313.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End6.3
blue by 6.5
433
#10
19.13.3
10.113.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End10.4
Third
4637
#25
3.10.8
8.49.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.1
End0.8
blue by 2.1
6808
#21
5.22.0
3.25.2
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsEarned