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Red85
17129.0
260726.8
540119.7
Blue65
121825.7
114312.3
741420.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6160405070808565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End3.8
red by 1.0
1218
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End9.6
Second
5401
Unranked
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
blue by 0.4
7414
Unranked
20.10.0
20.120.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End6.6
Third
1712
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End4.4
blue by 3.3
1143
Unranked
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo odds47%Cargo odds
Hangar
32%Hangar odds81%Hangar odds