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Red59
167635.2
34128.9
689717.4
Blue93
10325.8
27224.7
121825.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88800501001502005993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto7.4
Teleop16.3
End11.5
red by 9.3
103
Unranked
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto3.2
Teleop15.4
End7.2
Second
341
Unranked
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.9
End8.8
red by 3.2
1218
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End9.6
Third
6897
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End5.4
blue by 7.3
272
Unranked
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo odds79%Cargo odds
Hangar
87%Hangar odds71%Hangar odds