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Red51
70820.7
811714.6
17129.0
Blue62
48428.1
99959.7
43315.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465501001502002503003505162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
Unranked
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End5.3
blue by 7.4
484
Unranked
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.5
Second
8117
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.8
blue by 0.6
433
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End6.3
Third
1712
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End4.4
blue by 0.8
9995
Unranked
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo odds9%Cargo odds
Hangar
31%Hangar odds41%Hangar odds