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Red96
27224.7
36526.4
31640.3
Blue56
540119.7
99959.7
70820.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1064201502009656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
40.30.0
40.340.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End12.1
red by 19.6
708
Unranked
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End5.3
Second
365
Unranked
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
red by 6.7
5401
Unranked
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Third
272
Unranked
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
red by 15.0
9995
Unranked
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo odds15%Cargo odds
Hangar
74%Hangar odds18%Hangar odds