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Red43
121825.7
811714.6
29317.0
Blue71
741420.1
31640.3
99949.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59760501001504371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End9.6
blue by 14.6
316
Unranked
40.30.0
40.340.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End12.1
Second
293
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 3.1
7414
Unranked
20.10.0
20.120.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End6.6
Third
8117
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.8
red by 4.9
9994
Unranked
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo odds57%Cargo odds
Hangar
59%Hangar odds69%Hangar odds