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Red134
491147.3
291059.6
321827.8
Blue103
204647.2
297634.7
48824.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511126080100120140160180200134103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.1
60.360.2
Auto14.8
Teleop32.8
End11.9
red by 12.3
2046
#11
47.20.2
48.448.2
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
Second
47.30.1
48.148.0
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
red by 12.7
34.70.2
35.835.6
Auto10.6
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Third
3218
#25
27.80.1
28.628.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End11.9
red by 3.2
488
#34
24.70.2
25.825.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End12.3