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Red101
448839.8
247139.6
252228.0
Blue95
363633.3
293036.8
367427.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120104608014016010195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.3
41.040.7
Auto12.0
Teleop21.0
End6.8
red by 3.0
36.80.2
37.637.4
Auto12.3
Teleop16.3
End8.2
Second
39.60.3
40.740.4
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End8.4
red by 6.3
3636
#32
33.30.2
34.033.8
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End7.5
Third
2522
#23
28.00.3
29.128.8
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End8.1
red by 0.9
3674
#12
27.10.2
27.827.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End7.1