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Red76
241217.7
824813.1
408937.9
Blue97
252133.1
413117.1
297634.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747640601001207697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#22
37.90.4
40.741.1
Auto12.9
Teleop19.7
End5.2
red by 3.2
34.71.5
32.333.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Second
2412
#45
17.70.4
16.016.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.1
End3.5
blue by 15.4
2521
#16
33.11.5
28.730.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End10.8
Third
8248
#49
13.10.4
13.213.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 4.0
4131
#33
17.11.5
10.111.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsEarned