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Red100
408937.9
214741.2
189927.9
Blue90
378619.0
142531.5
635026.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117635010015010090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.5
36.035.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.1
End7.9
red by 9.7
1425
#31
31.51.6
24.626.2
Auto12.1
Teleop12.3
End7.1
Second
4089
#22
37.90.5
39.839.3
Auto12.9
Teleop19.7
End5.2
red by 11.1
6350
#20
26.71.6
20.722.3
Auto2.3
Teleop13.3
End11.1
Third
1899
#36
27.90.5
27.126.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End4.3
red by 8.9
3786
#44
19.01.6
20.922.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsEarned