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Red91
592021.1
491524.4
491147.3
Blue111
293036.8
214741.2
255736.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841145010015020091111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.3
39.840.1
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
red by 6.1
41.20.2
37.237.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.1
End7.9
Second
4915
#42
24.40.3
22.723.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End1.9
blue by 12.4
36.80.2
33.633.8
Auto12.3
Teleop16.3
End8.2
Third
5920
#43
21.10.3
20.020.3
Auto9.1
Teleop7.0
End5.0
blue by 15.5
2557
#18
36.60.2
32.532.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned