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Red41
824813.1
49230.4
366329.5
Blue113
412523.8
95536.4
491147.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80103406012014016041113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#17
30.42.5
31.729.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.0
End6.9
blue by 16.9
47.31.0
38.639.6
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
Second
3663
#24
29.52.5
32.329.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End7.7
blue by 6.9
955
#10
36.41.0
36.937.9
Auto9.7
Teleop21.0
End5.7
Third
8248
#49
13.12.5
14.211.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 10.7
4125
#38
23.81.0
18.319.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned