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Red74
142531.5
413117.1
451328.7
Blue72
592021.1
99722.9
746130.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69772040601001207472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#31
31.50.3
26.226.5
Auto12.1
Teleop12.3
End7.1
red by 0.6
7461
#27
30.90.0
24.724.8
Auto9.0
Teleop16.9
End5.1
Second
4513
#37
28.70.3
25.425.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.3
End7.0
red by 5.7
997
#8
22.90.0
24.424.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End12.7
Third
4131
#33
17.10.3
14.214.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
blue by 4.0
5920
#43
21.10.0
22.222.2
Auto9.1
Teleop7.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned